GREAT POWER COMPETITION (GPC)
The strong do what they can, and the weak suffer what they must.
– Thucydides
This famous quote from the ancient historian illustrates the harsh realities of power dynamics, especially relevant in the context of great power rivalry.
Great power competition among the United States, China, and Russia continues to intensify along military, economic, technological, and ideological dimensions in late 2024. The U.S. strengthens alliances like NATO and Indo-Pacific partnerships to counter China’s activities in the South China Sea and Russia’s actions in Eastern Europe. China builds its influence across the world with the help of the above-mentioned Belt and Road Initiative, while Russia exerts its influence over its former Soviet regions despite economic sanctions and internal issues. Competition today involves cyber warfare, disinformation, and a race for advanced technologies in a world that has begun to be more multipolar, in which smaller countries will have to navigate an increasingly complicated set of alliances.
– Remy Mauduit
U.S.-China Relations in 2024: Managing Competition without Conflict
The relationship between the United States and China is one of the most important in the world. The two countries are the world’s largest economies, and their relationship has a significant impact on global affairs. In recent years, the relationship has become increasingly strained, as China has become more assertive in its foreign policy and the United States has become more concerned about China’s growing power.
In 2024, the relationship between the United States and China is likely to remain competitive. However, it is also possible that the two countries will manage their competition without conflict. This will require both countries to make a concerted effort to cooperate on areas of mutual interest, such as climate change and nuclear nonproliferation.
Remy Mauduit
How the Middle East Became an Arena for Putin’s Power Struggle with the US
The Middle East has become a critical arena in Putin’s power struggle with the U.S. Putin’s strategic moves in the region are designed to weaken American influence, expand Russian power, and secure access to vital resources. While Russia’s presence has increased competition and diminished U.S. influence, it has also contributed to regional instability and challenges to the U.S.-led order. The ongoing power struggle between Putin and the U.S. is likely to continue shaping the future of the Middle East for years to come.
Remy Mauduit
Get realist: How the EU can secure its position amid great power rivalry
The European Union (EU) finds itself at a critical juncture, facing the challenges of great power rivalry between the United States and China. To secure its position amidst this geopolitical competition, the EU must adopt a realistic approach that acknowledges its limitations and strengths.
While the EU cannot compete with the US or China militarily, it needs to invest in its defense capabilities. This includes developing a stronger common security and defense policy, increasing defense spending, and enhancing cooperation with NATO. A credible EU defense posture will deter potential aggressors and strengthen the EU’s bargaining position.
Remy Mauduit
Emerging Powers and the Future of American Statecraft
In the rapidly evolving global landscape, the rise of emerging powers has profound implications for American statecraft. The United States, once the undisputed global hegemon, now faces a more complex and multipolar world order. As emerging powers like China, India, and Brazil assert their influence, the United States must adapt its foreign policy and diplomatic strategies to navigate this new era.
One key challenge is the need for the United States to balance its traditional leadership role with the aspirations of emerging powers. The US has long been the primary architect of the global order, but it can no longer dictate terms unilaterally. It must engage with emerging powers as equal partners, recognizing their legitimate interests and perspectives. This requires a shift from a unilateral to a multilateral approach to global governance, where the US works in concert with other countries to address common challenges.
Remy Mauduit
Behind the breakdown in US-China relations, The Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR)
Changing Geopolitical Context of US Support for Human Rights and Democracy, E-International Relations
Geopolitics and Fragmentation Emerge as Serious Financial Stability Threat, International Monetary Fund
Geopolitics and the China Question, British Foreign Policy Group
Managing Crises between the U.S. and China: A Conversation with Xin Qiang and Dennis Wilde, The Center for Strategic & International Studies
Xi’s Cautious Inching Towards the China Dream, The RAND Corporation
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